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Tuesday, July 26, 2011

Stock Downtrend Tested Today; Euro Extends Correction

Stocks' downtrend remains intact by the skin of their teeth.  Today's rallys stopped short of making a new high above 1346.82 in the S&P.  So the series of lower highs and lower lows is still in place, and therefore the downtrend remains in place.  Shorting here against 1346.82 would be a good risk/reward trade for the bears.  Although in the bigger picture, with no clear wave count in place, and certainly nothing impulsive looking, I think this downward action lately is all part of a correction that will result in a move to new highs on the year eventually.  So if I were short, I'd play it tight here and only for the short term action.  Longer term the market still seems bullish.


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